It's a rhetorical question, I think.  Or, maybe not.  If I have already decided the answer, does that make it rhetorical.  Because here's the answer:  absolutely not.

Several months ago, I wrote a post about the wonder juice, Mona Vie.  It's a juice made with acai berry and other exotic sounding things that you couldn't possibly grow yourself.  You see, you would have to get the magic seeds from the depths of the Brazillian rain forest.  Ever wonder why the most healthy things in the world only grow in the far reaches of Brazillian rain forests and Himalayan mountain tops?

Anyway, I analyzed the business plan offered to those wishing to be part of the Mona Vie pyramid.  Er, I mean, take advantage of the exciting business opportunity.  Looks to me like it is possible to make some money.  Of course, I don't wish to view all of my friends and family as sales prospects.  So, I guess I wouldn't be successful.

Not surprisingly, the comments were one of two things.  Either it was someone telling us all that Mona Vie cured their high blood pressure, insomnia, baldness, made them taller, grew back their amputated leg, etc.  The other type of comment was that Mona Vie made them broke, ruined their marraige, caused them to be impotent and friendless.  Tragic, really.

So, I guess I shouldn't be surprised that it was that same post that instigated my first bit of hate mail.  Here's the email that I found in my inbox this morning:

"It seems that before you question the business of Mona Vie that you would at least find out what pv means.  Hey, here's a concept why don't you drink it for a month and then make your claims.  How long do you have to take vitamins before feeling any difference?  Do vitamins help lower your blood pressure because that is what Mona Vie has done for my mother.  Don't ruin it for everyone else who can benefit from the nutritional value of Mona Vie."

It was sent from the catering department of a golf course.  I wonder if she's slipping some acai berries into the fruit tart.  Lucky golfers.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, combined, own or back up some $5 trillion dollars of debt. That is about half of ALL the mortgages in the U.S. They have already lost some $11 BILLION since the current mortgage/credit crisis began, so it is easy to see why there is profound concern about their fiscal health–or lack there of.

Concern turned to horror today after the New York Times reported that the U.S. government is thinking about a takeover of the mortgage giants–placing them in a conservatorship.

Should that happen, the shares of both could be worth almost nothing and taxpayers, you and me, would have to pick up the tab, says the Times, for “any losses on mortgages they own or guarantee–which could be staggering…”

This news brought about what the AFP news agency referred to in a headline as a “meltdown” of the share prices of both Fannie and Freddie.

According to Reuters, “Fannie shares closed at $10.25, down some 22 percent but well above the session low of $6.68. Freddie closed at $7.75, down 3 percent, after touching a low of $3.89 earlier in the session.”

And, here is the most amazing part of the story. Freddie and Fannie have lost almost 90 percent of their enture value just since August, says Reuters.

Doubts about bailout

As the day drew to a hectic close, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson sent out signals that it is not likely there will be any federal bailout–However, Sen. Christopher Dodd of Connecticut, who is chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, said he spoke with both Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and that they are looking at options that would include “opening access to the discount window,” Reuters reports. The discount window allows the Fed to act as an emergency lender for the banking system.

Meantime, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac insisted they have enough capital to keep going and Sen. Dodd said both are “fundamentally sound and strong.”

Although both were originally formed by the federal government, they now function as private corporations, though there has always been an assumption that the government would never let either go under for fear of what might happen to the entire financial system in this country and, indeed, around the world.

How they got into trouble
To understand how they got into trouble, you must first understand what it is they do. Both buy up literally hundreds of billions of dollars in mortgages–then repackage them as securities.

In some cases, they hold on to these new securities, but they also sell them to investors.

That is why when the subprime mortgage crisis hit,Fannie and Freddie were hit hard. And, says the New York Times, “analysts expect the companies to announce a new round of write-downs and possibly be forced to raise capital by issuing additional shares.”

Stocks tumble then regain

At first, the fears of a Fannie/Freddie implosion plunged the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 200 points…but, by the end of the trading day, it closed down “just” 128.48 points.

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This Post is from the BiggerPockets Real Estate Blog. Copyright © 2008 BiggerPockets, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac: What Will The Feds Do?

In a clear sign the federal government is far more concerned about the financial health of mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac than its public comments indicated as late as Friday, the U.S. government Sunday night announced what some are calling a “massive aid” package to the two shareholder owned and run companies officially cementing a government relationship that till now was only implied but never admitted to.
According to a Reuters dispatch, the plan, which will require swift approval from Congress, is designed to “head off a potential meltdown in financial markets.”

Here’s what the government is offering Fannie and Freddie:

1. Access to its emergency cash–the so-called discount window
2. A huge “temporary” increase in the line of credit available
3. The U.S. Treasury will, for the first time ever, purchase equity in both companies should it be needed
4. Investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission to stop the spread of “false information.”

Both Fannie and Freddie are vital to the housing market–they buy mortgages from banks and other lenders and either keep them or repackage them into securities that are sold to investors.

“Welcome to the socialist state”

Strong words from some critics are already greeting the government plan. Josh Rosner, the managing director at Graham Fisher in New York told Reuters, “It’s outrageous. It’s offensive. Welcome to the socialist state. In capitalism, winners are supposed to reap rewards and losers are supposed to take losses for bad risk management. These are private companies.”

But others are deeply concerned that should Fannie and Freddie fail–though they both say they are well capitalized–the shockwaves would cause a financial meltdown world-wide.

The most troubling part of the government plan,perhaps, is the possibility the Treasury might buy equity in Fannie and Freddie. Some critics charge this could end up costing taxpayers enormous sums of money.

It will be interesting to see whether Wall Street gives the plan a thumbs up or thumbs down during Monday’s trading.

Here are 2 more articles worth reading:

• Government as the Big Lender
• Treasury Acts to Save Mortgage Giants

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This Post is from the BiggerPockets Real Estate Blog. Copyright © 2008 BiggerPockets, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

FEDS BAIL OUT FANNIE AND FREDDIE; EMERGENCY MEASURES TAKEN

Geezeo joins the ranks of Mint.com, NetworthIQ.com, and Wesabe.com as a social personal finance site. The USP (unique selling point) of the site is their mobile accessibility.

It works like this:

Henry’s walking down the street. He stops and wonders if he’s got enough for a Big Mac. He sends a text message to the ether and waits. Moments later a text message comes back with all of my account balances that he setup at the website. Welp. Looks like Henry will have to go another day without food.

It’s targeting students or recent graduates for their service but anyone can use it. They target them because they’re more “connected”. It’s also US-only. Sorry Canada. They have compatibility with 6000+ institutions.

Here are a couple of improvements I would make:

1. Instead of texting the word “geezeo” to get current account balances, make it a common word that I can enter without switching to “abc” mode.
2. Instead of texting the word “geezeo update” to update my balances, it should already be updated when you retrieve your current account balances (see item 1).  Why would anyone want non-updated information?  Deprecate this.
3. Send a pie chart or graph or something via MMS if possible.

There are more things but here’s the one sentence summary: “Geezeo tracks your money automatically and there’s also discussion boards as well.”

Is it useful?  Sure.  Consistent awareness of your financial situation is very important for building wealth or getting out of debt.

Will I use it?  Probably not.  Calculating my net worth at the end of the month is good enough for me.

-h

PS - Sorry about the absence.  I was doing pull-ups this entire time.

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Kris and I went grocery shopping this weekend. We stopped at Bob’s Red Mill — a local health-food store — to use some “buy one, get one free” coupons. “You can get anything you want,” Kris told me, “except hot cereal.”

“Why can’t I get hot cereal?” I asked. “I love hot cereal.”

“I know,” Kris said. “But you buy it all the time. You buy it faster than you eat it. Just last week, you bought another box of that blueberry oatmeal from Trader Joe’s. You never remember what we have at home. You need to shop with a list.”

She has a point.

A shopping list is a useful way to remind yourself what you do and do not need to purchase. But most frugality experts emphasize shopping with a list because it prevents impulse purchases. Impulse purchases wreck grocery budgets. In Why We Buy: The Science of Shopping, Paco Underhill writes:

Supermarkets are places of high impulse buying for both sexes — fully 60 to 70 percent of purchases there were unplanned, grocery industry studies have shown us.

More than half of all grocery purchases are unplanned! No wonder creating and sticking to a list can bring down grocery costs.

But that’s not the only way to save money at the supermarket. Over the past two years, I’ve published a lot of tips for saving money on your grocery bill. Some of these have been obvious — others less so. All of them can help you save at the supermarket. Here are some of the best:

Make a list — and stick to it.

This is the cardinal rule of shopping. The list represents your grocery needs: the staples you?re out of, and the food you need for upcoming meals. When you stray from the list, you?re buying on impulse, and that?s how shopping trips get out of control. Sure, a magazine only costs $5, but if you spend an extra $5 every time you make a trip to the supermarket, you waste a lot of money.

Compare unit pricing.

The biggest package isn?t always the most cost-effective. Stores know that consumers want to buy in bulk, and so they mix it up: sometimes the bulk item is cheaper, sometimes it?s more expensive. The only way you can be sure is to take a calculator. Our grocery store posts unit pricing for most items, which makes comparisons easy.

Ditch the basket or cart.

If you’re dashing into the supermarket to pick up milk and bread, don’t use a basket. Baskets induce people to buy more. If you’re limited to what you can carry, you’re more likely to avoid impulse purchases. Only use a basket (or shopping cart) if it’s absolutely necessary.

Don’t examine things you don’t need.

The more you interact with something, the more likely you are to buy it, says Paco Underhill in Why We Buy: “Virtually all unplanned purchases…come as a result of the shopper seeing, touching, smelling, or tasting something that promises pleasure, if not total fulfillment.” Do you know why grocery stores place those displays in the aisles? To intentionally block traffic. They want to force you to stop, if only for a moment. It only takes a few seconds of idly staring at the Chips Ahoy! to convince you to buy them. Stay focused.

Live on the edge.

Health-conscious shoppers know that the perimeter of the store is where the good stuff is. The baked goods, dairy products, fresh meats, and fruits and vegetables are generally placed along the outside edge of the supermarket, while the processed stuff can be found up and down the aisles. But shopping the edges isn’t just healthier — it’s cheaper too. Stock up on the fresh food first, then venture to the middle of the store.

Discard brand loyalties.

Be willing to experiment. You may have a favorite brand of diced tomatoes, for example, but does it really matter? Go with what’s on sale for the lowest unit price. You may find you like the less expensive product just as well. If you try a cheaper brand and are disappointed, it’s okay to return to your regular brand.

Choose generic.

Better yet, try the store brand. Generic and store brand products are cheaper than their name-brand equivalents and are usually of similar quality. But do you know why you’re reluctant to try generics? The power of marketing. Most generics have unappealing packaging. If they cost less and taste the same, who cares?

Use coupons wisely.

Coupons really can save you money. But you have to know how to use them. Clip coupons only the things you need — staple foods and ingredients — not for processed junk food. Learn to use special coupons. Once each month, one local store sends us a “$10 off a $50 purchase coupon”. We know it’s coming, so we plan our trips around it.

Make one large trip instead of several small ones.

Each time you enter the grocery store is another chance to spend. By reducing the frequency of your trips, you’re not only avoiding temptation, but you’re also saving money on overhead (time and fuel).

Buy from the bulk bins.

Some stores offer bulk bins filled with baking ingredients, cereal, and spices. When you buy in bulk, you get just the amount you need, and you pay less. Much less. (One GRS reader recently shared how he saved over $150 by buying spices in bulk.)

Check your receipt.

Make sure your prices are scanned correctly. Make sure your coupons are scanned correctly. Sale items, especially, have a tendency to be in the computer wrong, and yet few people ever challenge the price at the register. You don?t need to hold up the line: simply watch the price of each item as it?s scanned. If you suspect an error, step to the side and check the receipt as the clerk begins the next order. If there?s a problem, politely point it out. It?s your money. Ask for it.

Shop alone.

In Why We Buy, the author notes that people tend to buy more when shopping in groups than when shopping alone. “But men are especially suggestible to the entreaties of children as well as eye-catching displays.” Kris complains that we always spend more on food when we shop together. She’s right. If possible, shop alone.

Use a grocery price book.

A grocery price book is an ongoing list of the items you most commonly purchase and how much you paid for them. This list allows you to detect price cycles, spot bargains, and plan your shopping trips for maximum savings. A price book allows you to practice strike-point shopping.

Shop on a full stomach.

Studies show that folks who shop when they?re hungry buy more. This is certainly true for me: If I go to the store for milk on a Sunday morning without eating breakfast, I?m likely to come home with donuts and orange juice and Lucky Charms, too.

Walk or bike.

In our recent discussion about how to pay yourself first, Ross Williams suggested another way to reduce impulse purchases. By walking or biking to the store, you can automatically limit your spending. “It’s amazing how focused you can be when you are limited to one shopping bag full of groceries,” he writes. “Once you are very conscious of each purchase, it seems to carry over even to the small items where space isn’t really an issue.”

Any of these tips can help a savvy shopper save money at the supermarket. But when combined to create a cohesive shopping philosophy, they have the power to slash your grocery budget significantly. I’m not promising that you’ll be able to feed yourself for $15 a week, but you might be able to save enough money pay down your debt or to jump-start your savings!

Here are some related articles:

• How to save hundreds by playing the drugstore game
• The lazy man’s guide to groceries on a budget
• Grocery store vs. farmers market: Which has the cheapest produce?

Kris requested I offer some final pointers for the gentlemen. “Check with your wife before you go shopping,” she says. “Check with your wife before you put anything into the cart. And remember: Just because you like a food doesn’t mean you need to buy it every time you go shopping.”

Bulk food photo by mattieb.

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Related Articles at Get Rich Slowly:

• Use a Grocery Price Book to Slash Your Food Spending
• The Grocery Game
• How to Spend Less - Lessons From ‘Why We Buy’
• Daily Links: Money Saving Tips Edition
• Price vs. Ethics: Is the Best Price the Best Choice?

How you see yourself is likely how others will see you as well. Here’s a few examples of how you can implement this to your advantage.

- You’re unemployed. No you’re not. You’re advancing in your career, you’re an ambitious person looking to move up.

- You do freelance graphic design. No you don’t. You’re an artist.

Think of yourself as a product. You’re selling yourself to others. From your clothing to your way of speaking, you are a product to everyone you meet. Everyone from strangers to business owners subconsciously ask themselves if they want to buy you. So sell them your product. If you don’t market yourself or brand yourself in the way you want, others will most certainly do it for you.

- Edwin, CashTheChecks.com

I read somewhere over the weekend a letter to the editor of some newspaper (I can’t for the life of me remember where I read the comment) by a guy who was lamenting the fact that investors get screwed no matter who is president. His letter mentioned that some stocks do well when a Republican is in office and other stocks do well when a Democrat is in office—he just didn’t know which ones.

I have a suggestion:

Buy the index and don’t worry about it.

Yes, we can make more money IF we know which stocks are going to outperform the market. The problem is either WE DON’T KNOW or it’s hard to know. Therefore, buying the index is the prudent way to go because you don’t have to worry about picking stocks (unless that’s something you love doing).

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In the American Revolutionary War Colonel William Prescott admonished his troops not to fire till they saw the whites of the enemies’ eyes. Bottom feeders in this tanking real estate market are trying to show the same discipline, but it’s tough. As early as mid 2007 we were reading all sorts of stories about vultures swooping into overheated markets like Miami and Las Vegas to gobble up properties that had tanked in value. Funny – we don’t really see too many stories about what happened next.

But we know what happened next – they continued to tumble, and the bottom feeders who jumped in too early took a beating.

Today Case Shiller reported a 15.8% drop in their housing price index. This isn’t really news, actually – it’s the twenty second consecutive month that the index is down. And if I were a betting man I’d count on it being down next month too.

Foreclosures are hammering the market as banks unload their inventory of REO’s, pushing down the averages. There are some indications that Congress and the Fed are ready to step in – witness this week’s housing bill. This will reassure Wall Street, but it remains to be seen if the positive impact that this has on credit liquidity is neutralized by banks reevaluating the risk of the government unilaterally resetting the terms of the loans that they make.

I’ve remarked in earlier posts that there is a difference between investing and speculating – and that either one may be ok for you, but the danger is when you think that you’re doing one but you’re actually doing the other. “Investors” out there who are trying to catch the bounce aren’t investors; they’re speculators. In my view it’s more important than ever for investors to evaluate the risks, take a sober look at a potential cashflow that an investment will produce, and ask themselves what kind of return their investment will yield if they’re forced to hold for a few years.

I had been checking on our economic stimulus check status regularly at the beginning of this month but hadn’t looked for an update in a few weeks.

I was happy to see that our rebate check actually came through via direct deposit about a week and a half ago.  We’re using the check to help fund our vacation this summer, which is getting closer, so I was pleased to finally see the balance in our bank account! Now I can afford that flight on our private jet, kidding of course : )

I know some of our neighbors and co-workers still haven’t received their rebate checks and are starting to get a little worried. It is a nice chunk of money, we received $1500, so I can understand why everyone is anxious to get it.

When they ask me for advice on their rebate I just point them to the details I found, how to track your economic stimulus payment. I remind them there are different qualifications for getting paid and refer them to the post frequently asked questions for economic stimulus rebate checks.

I’m just glad that ours has arrived. We’ve already charged our hotel stay for the trip to our AmEx Blue Cash card so the payment will come due here in the next few weeks.  We have the money to cover it even if the rebate check had never arrived but now it will be easier to pay the bill since I won’t have to move money out of our ING Direct account to cover it.  Now we just have to count down the days until vacation!

This is not a political blog, but perhaps I am a bit cranky after losing electricity and water for 5 days, so I will let this one slip by.

So here goes:

Image source: http://codenameblogtastica.blogspot.com/

…. he killed a helicopter with a car, and then he walked bare-foot on broken glass, and then he fired a few people, and then he suspended whatever that was going on and proceeded to Capitol Hill to beat the crap out of bad dudes and to rescue the economy.

Oh wait… it’s McClane not McCain you idiot. Oops! it’s probably the uncanny similarity between the looks of Mr. Willis and Mr. McClane Mr. McCain that confused me.

I don’t mean any disrespect, but I had to get this out because I actually had a dream of John McCain hanging “suspended” upside down in New York’s Central Park right above a huge pile of money (that looked like it was about $700 billion). I woke up a little scared and then realized that it’s because I read about David Blaine’s stunt before going to sleep last night - while I was being constantly bombarded by television commentary on McCain’s suspension of his campaign (or whatever - didn’t look much of a campaign anyways) and the $700 billion bailout.

You can imagine the kind of maverick-ish impact Mr. McClane Mr. McCain is having on me.

Anyways, with that out of the way, there is something else I need to say. It has recently come to my attention that some people don’t really know how many zeroes are there in a billion! That calls for a little bit of elaboration on the numbers you might hear in the next few months.

$700 billion = $700,000,000,000

300 million = 300,000,000 (as per Google search, the actual number is close to 301,139,947 - go figure what this number is)

Now, $700,000,000,000/300,000,000 = $2333.33 per person

As per 2006 tax figures, there were 135,660,228 tax returns filed.

Now, $700,000,000,000/135,660,228 = $5159.95 per tax return

Some other numbers to put things into perspective.

For the year 2007, AIG CEO’s (Martin Sullivan) monetary compensation was $13.9 million ($13.9 million = $13,900,000)

Earlier this year, most people I know received economic stimulus payments that ranged between $600 and $1200

Well we're a few weeks beyond Hurricane Ike, and our collective attention has turned from tropical storms to financial ones - a topic that I'll write about shortly. 

Most of Houston is back to normal.  Among the properties that I own we suffered a few downed fences and an uprooted tree or two, along with a tenant who appears to have disappeared and abandoned her lease (I'll write about that as well).  All and all I've been pretty lucky - and thanks to those of you who sent your best wishes. 

But take a look at the JPMorganChase tower in Downtown Houston.  Looks like they've cornered the local plywood market.